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Garuda Construction and Engineers IPO: Should You Apply or Wait?

Garuda Construction and Engineers IPO: Should You Apply or Wait?

Introduction: The IPO market is buzzing again, with Garuda Construction and Engineers’ initial public offering (IPO) opening for subscription today. While IPOs have historically generated significant excitement among investors, recent market volatility has caused some to proceed cautiously. This blog will delve into the key aspects of Garuda Construction and Engineers’ IPO, analyzing the company’s fundamentals, market sentiment, and expert opinions to help you decide whether to invest or hold back.

Overview of Garuda Construction and Engineers

Garuda Construction and Engineers operates in the commercial real estate and infrastructure sectors, focusing on civil, industrial, and related construction activities. The company’s strong order book, which stands at approximately ₹1,000 crore, is nearly nine times its revenue of ₹154 crore in FY24. On the surface, this shows good revenue visibility, as the order book suggests potential business for the years to come.

Additionally, the company follows an asset-light model, which has led to relatively high return ratios compared to its peers in the construction industry, such as BL Kashyap, L Walia Contracts, and PSP Projects. Garuda boasts a higher EBITDA and net profit margin than many of these competitors.

However, these positive numbers come with some concerns, and potential investors need to consider the associated risks.

Risks and Concerns

  1. Dependency on Group Companies: A significant portion of Garuda’s revenues comes from its group companies. This raises concerns about client diversification, as heavy reliance on internal sources could indicate an inability to attract external clients. Investors should be wary of this factor, as it could limit the company’s future growth and scalability.
  2. Past IPO Withdrawal: A recent IPO from one of Garuda’s group companies, TK Ventures, had to be withdrawn due to poor subscription. This event casts a shadow over Garuda’s current IPO, as market sentiment could be negatively affected by this precedent.
  3. High Debtors: Garuda’s high trade receivables are another red flag. A high debtor level often points to potential cash flow issues and can strain the company’s working capital. Investors should watch this metric closely, as it could impact Garuda’s short-term financial health.

Grey Market Sentiment and Market Conditions

The grey market premium (GMP) for Garuda’s IPO has not been particularly encouraging. Although the IPO was fully subscribed by 1.39 times on the first day, the premium in the grey market has been minimal, signaling a lukewarm reception. GMP is often seen as an indicator of demand in the unofficial market, and the lack of enthusiasm here may reflect broader market conditions.

It’s also important to note that today’s market is operating on a half-day, which could further affect both subscription numbers and grey market activity.

Expert Opinions

The investment community seems divided on Garuda’s IPO. Here’s what some of the leading brokerage firms are saying:

  • Anand Rathi: Recommends subscribing for the long term, citing good financial visibility and return ratios.
  • Canara Bank Securities: Advises avoiding the IPO, citing pricing concerns and potential risks related to revenue concentration.
  • Arihant Capital: Suggests subscribing, but with caution. They advise a long-term approach due to the mixed risk factors.
  • SMIFS: Recommends subscribing based on the company’s strong order book and positive financial metrics.

Should You Invest?

Garuda Construction and Engineers’ IPO presents a mixed bag for investors. While the company’s financial performance, order book strength, and asset-light model are positive factors, concerns such as dependency on group companies and high debtors may give investors pause.

For risk-averse investors, it might be wise to skip this IPO and wait for better opportunities, especially given the current market volatility and the company’s past IPO withdrawal. However, for those willing to take on some risk in the hopes of long-term gains, Garuda’s strong financials and high return ratios could make it a worthwhile bet.

With more promising IPOs lined up in the near future, including offerings from well-known companies like NSDL, it’s clear that there are other opportunities on the horizon. Investors might prefer to hold off on Garuda in favor of upcoming IPOs that offer better potential returns without the associated risks.

Whatever your choice, make sure to assess your risk tolerance and investment horizon before making any decisions. As always, a well-informed approach is key to successful investing.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Garuda Construction and Engineers‘ IPO offers both opportunities and risks. While the company boasts a strong order book and impressive return ratios due to its asset-light model, concerns like revenue dependency on group companies and high trade receivables raise red flags. The grey market premium and market sentiment are lukewarm, indicating caution. Risk-tolerant investors may consider this IPO for long-term potential, but those seeking safer investments might prefer waiting for upcoming IPOs with better growth prospects. Ultimately, evaluating your risk appetite and investment goals is key to making the right decision.

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